MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 19:51:17| >> :600:203331:203331:
Stoke logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brighton logo
Stoke
0 - 1
Brighton

Laurent (21'), Baker (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferguson (30')
Undav (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Stoke City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Fulham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton have become a very entertaining outfit under De Zerbi's stewardship, and we expect the Seagulls to have too much attacking fluency for their Championship opponents on Tuesday. Indeed, the visitors had the weekend off due to their match against Newcastle United being rescheduled, so they should be far fresher than Stoke on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
27.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 23.93% (0.0019999999999989 0) 48.97% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.21% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)44.52% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)29.99% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)66.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65%49.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 27.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 48.97%
    Draw 23.93%
Stoke CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.97%

How you voted: Stoke vs Brighton

Stoke City
20.5%
Draw
9.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
69.7%
132
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 20, 2017 8pm
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Brighton
1-5
Stoke
Loft (84')
Henderson (7')
Sidibe (40'), Rooney (6', 22', 63')
Nov 5, 2005 3pm
Stoke
3-0
Brighton
Russell (68')
Russell (31'), Brammer (82'), Duberry (87')

McShane (39')
Mar 5, 2005 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Brighton
Noel-Williams (39' pen., 44' pen.)
Clarke (52')

Nicolas (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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