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Brighton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Liverpool logo
Brighton
2 - 1
Liverpool
Dunk (39'), Mitoma (90+2')
Dunk (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elliott (30')
Bajcetic (17'), Konate (62'), Fabinho (86'), Robertson (90+1')
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion come from behind to end Liverpool's FA Cup title defence with a 2-1 win over the holders in the fourth round at the Amex Stadium.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Chelsea
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
34.18% (0.741 0.74) 24.01% (0.421 0.42) 41.81% (-1.165 -1.17)
Both teams to score 60.91% (-1.311 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (-1.812 -1.81)41.37% (1.809 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (-1.863 -1.86)63.77% (1.86 1.86)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.437 -0.44)23.84% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-0.624 -0.62)58.02% (0.622 0.62)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-1.259 -1.26)20.01% (1.256 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-2.064 -2.06)52.21% (2.062 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 34.18%
    Liverpool 41.81%
    Draw 24%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.143 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.465 0.47)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.275 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 11% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.381 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.327 0.33)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 41.81%

How you voted: Brighton vs Liverpool

Brighton & Hove Albion
47.1%
Draw
13.0%
Liverpool
39.8%
261
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Brighton
3-0
Liverpool
March (47', 53'), Welbeck (81')
Dunk (17')

Matip (18'), Henderson (30'), Alexander-Arnold (65')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Liverpool
3-3
Brighton
Firmino (33', 54'), Webster (63' og.)
Trossard (4', 18', 83')
Estupinan (29')
Mar 12, 2022 12.30pm
Brighton
0-2
Liverpool

Bissouma (55'), Mac Allister (75'), Maupay (81')
Diaz (19'), Salah (61' pen.)
Fabinho (84')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Liverpool
2-2
Brighton
Henderson (4'), Mane (24')
Minamino (88'), Robertson (90+4')
Mwepu (41'), Trossard (65')
Lamptey (90'), Duffy (90+1')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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