Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Chelsea |
63.38% ( 0.07) | 19.91% ( -0.01) | 16.71% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.78% ( -0.07) | 39.22% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.44% ( -0.07) | 61.55% ( 0.07) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.22% ( 0) | 11.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.04% ( -0) | 36.96% ( 0) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% ( -0.12) | 36.71% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.5% ( -0.12) | 73.49% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.07% 3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.78% 4-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.99% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.91% | 1-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 16.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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