Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
24.4% | 23.86% | 51.74% |
Both teams to score 54.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.57% | 46.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% | 68.71% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.84% | 33.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.24% | 69.76% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% | 17.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.22% | 48.77% |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.4% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |