Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
61.67% | 21.29% | 17.04% |
Both teams to score 51.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.14% | 44.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.78% | 67.22% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.98% | 14.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.44% | 41.55% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.29% | 39.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.61% | 76.39% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 6.5% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 3% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.78% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 60 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 52 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 38 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
10 | Toronto | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 33 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 32 |
14 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 60 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 52 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 38 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
10 | Toronto | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 33 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 32 |
14 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 26 |