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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 68.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 12.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
68.2% ( -0) | 19.28% ( 0.01) | 12.53% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.69% ( -0.03) | 45.31% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.35% ( -0.02) | 67.65% ( 0.03) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.75% ( -0.01) | 12.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.04% ( -0.02) | 37.96% ( 0.02) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.65% ( -0.02) | 46.34% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.01% ( -0.01) | 81.99% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 68.18% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.28% | 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.11% Total : 12.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 41 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 86 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 41 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 85 | 32 | 53 | 85 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 84 |
4 | Barnsley | 41 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 81 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 71 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 42 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 70 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 69 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 65 |
9 | Portsmouth | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 41 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 56 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 62 | 59 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 41 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 55 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 59 | 56 | 3 | 53 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 76 | -22 | 48 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 41 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 41 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 42 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 26 |
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