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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
31.45% ( -0.06) | 25.17% ( -0.02) | 43.38% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% ( 0.08) | 47.57% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( 0.08) | 69.77% ( -0.08) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% ( 0) | 28.49% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.74% ( 0) | 64.26% ( -0.01) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( 0.07) | 21.91% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( 0.11) | 55.17% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 41 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 86 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 41 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 85 | 32 | 53 | 85 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 84 |
4 | Barnsley | 41 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 81 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 71 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 42 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 70 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 69 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 65 |
9 | Portsmouth | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 41 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 56 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 62 | 59 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 41 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 55 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 59 | 56 | 3 | 53 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 76 | -22 | 48 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 41 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 41 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 42 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 26 |
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