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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Burton Albion |
56.52% ( -0.57) | 22.64% ( 0.2) | 20.84% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.91% ( -0.41) | 45.09% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.56% ( -0.39) | 67.44% ( 0.39) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( -0.33) | 15.75% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.14% ( -0.62) | 44.86% ( 0.62) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% ( 0.14) | 35.69% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% ( 0.14) | 72.46% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 78 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 77 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Barnsley | 35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 69 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 37 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 37 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 60 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Portsmouth | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 57 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 48 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 46 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 46 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 45 |
16 | Port Vale | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 44 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
20 | MK Dons | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 36 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 23 |
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