Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
