Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.