Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
42.92% | 26.24% | 30.85% |
Both teams to score 52.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.7% | 52.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.01% | 73.99% |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% | 24.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% | 58.5% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% | 31.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.37% | 67.63% |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.91% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 44 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 41 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 31 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 31 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Barnsley | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
8 | Portsmouth | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 29 |
9 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 27 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Port Vale | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 26 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 26 |
13 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 24 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 22 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 20 |
21 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
22 | Burton Albion | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 15 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
24 | MK Dons | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 14 |
> Full Version |