Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
55.19% ( -0.14) | 22.81% ( 0.03) | 21.99% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.57% ( 0.01) | 44.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.2% ( 0.01) | 66.8% ( -0.01) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.03% ( -0.05) | 15.97% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.73% ( -0.09) | 45.27% ( 0.08) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.8% ( 0.11) | 34.2% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.1% ( 0.12) | 70.9% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.19% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 |
10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 |
14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 |
21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 |
22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
> Full Version |