Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.