Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
