Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
