Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
