Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
