Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
39.11% ( -0.45) | 26.94% ( -0.09) | 33.96% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.7% ( 0.46) | 54.3% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.31% ( 0.38) | 75.69% ( -0.38) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( -0.03) | 27.1% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% ( -0.05) | 62.48% ( 0.05) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( 0.59) | 30.2% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% ( 0.7) | 66.35% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.1% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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