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Brentford logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
West Ham logo
Brentford
0 - 1
West Ham

Wissa (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benrahma (79')
Dawson (73')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 West Ham United

While Brentford are classed as the clear favourites for this fixture, the prospect of changes being made should lead to a tight contest. With that in mind, we feel that the Hammers may edge this game, earning a result which could buy Moyes some time in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
31.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 24.39% (0.012 0.01) 43.93% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)66.39% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.46% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.68%
    West Ham United 43.93%
    Draw 24.39%
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.68%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 43.93%

How you voted: Brentford vs West Ham

Brentford
68.0%
Draw
11.5%
West Ham United
20.5%
122
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
West Ham
1-2
Brentford
Bowen (80')
Zouma (35'), Rice (90+2')
Mbeumo (20'), Wissa (90+4')
Norgaard (69'), Canos (84'), Jorgensen (85')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Brentford
0-1
West Ham
Benrahma (65')
Aug 29, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
West Ham
2-1
Brentford
Yarmolenko (5'), Soucek (61')
Forss (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal35256483394481
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351812563313266
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
7Aston Villa36176134844457
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331671063451855
9Fulham36156155249351
10Brentford35121495245750
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham35107183850-1237
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton35711173253-2132
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3586214964-1530
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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