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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
24.2% ( 1.1) | 24.07% ( 0.48) | 51.73% ( -1.57) |
Both teams to score 53.91% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% ( -0.97) | 47.56% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( -0.9) | 69.76% ( 0.91) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% ( 0.44) | 33.95% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% ( 0.47) | 70.63% ( -0.47) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.63% ( -0.95) | 18.37% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.5% ( -1.64) | 49.51% ( 1.65) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.2% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 36 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 36 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 57 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
10 | Portsmouth | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 54 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 45 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 45 |
15 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
18 | Burton Albion | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 38 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 35 |
21 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
22 | Morecambe | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 33 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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