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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
31.82% ( -1.19) | 28.09% ( 0.15) | 40.08% ( 1.04) |
Both teams to score 46.93% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.94% ( -0.78) | 59.05% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.49% ( -0.6) | 79.51% ( 0.6) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% ( -1.24) | 34.08% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.23% ( -1.36) | 70.76% ( 1.36) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.19% ( 0.23) | 28.81% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.33% ( 0.28) | 64.66% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 84 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 42 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 74 |
3 | Stevenage | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 73 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 42 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 58 | 34 | 24 | 71 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 71 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 71 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 66 |
8 | Salford City | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 66 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 62 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 57 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 53 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 52 |
13 | Grimsby Town | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 52 |
14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 52 |
15 | Walsall | 42 | 11 | 18 | 13 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 51 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 50 |
18 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 48 |
19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 45 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 41 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 42 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 42 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 41 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 42 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 39 |
24 | Rochdale | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 33 |
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