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May 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at One Call Stadium
Mansfield
2 - 1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Northampton Town

Despite their lengthy unbeaten streak, Saturday could have taken a lot out of Northampton. Even with Mansfield having failed to win either of their last two fixtures, we feel that the home side should capitalise on the mindset of their opponents to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
42.03%26.55%31.41%
Both teams to score 51.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64%53.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1%74.9%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21%59.79%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2%67.8%
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 42.03%
    Northampton Town 31.41%
    Draw 26.55%
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Northampton

Mansfield Town
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Northampton Town
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (90+5')
Goode (31'), Oliver (54'), McCormack (62'), Smith (62'), Adams (90+3')
Hoskins (10')
Rose (12' pen.), Tomlinson (74')
Tomlinson (31')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Cook (74')
Clarke (36'), Benning (59'), Cook (72'), Bishop (94'), Preston (97')
Smith (84')
McCormack (12'), Turnbull (38'), Anderson (56'), Watson (56')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Medvedev
Zverev
65 77 7
77 65 5
Result
Davidovich Fokina
Garin
6 6
3 4
8.30pm
Fritz
Fucsovics
8.30pm
Rublev
Norrie
10pm
Tiafoe
Tabilo
Result
Draper
Murray
78 6
66 2
Result
Alcaraz
Griekspoor
77 6
64 3
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient35219546222472
2Stevenage35199750311966
3Carlisle UnitedCarlisle351810758352364
4Northampton TownNorthampton361712749331663
5Stockport CountyStockport361781149311859
6Bradford CityBradford351611843301359
7Salford City361681254411356
8Mansfield TownMansfield341671154441055
9Sutton UnitedSutton371510124040055
10BarrowBarrow36157143841-352
11Swindon TownSwindon351311114538750
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster35155153846-850
13Tranmere RoversTranmere36139143535048
14Walsall351015103632445
15Grimsby Town34129133741-445
16AFC Wimbledon361013133842-443
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe35915113344-1142
18Newport CountyNewport36913143542-740
19Gillingham35911152337-1438
20Colchester UnitedColchester3698193143-1235
21Harrogate TownHarrogate36811174154-1335
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool36612183864-2630
23Crawley TownCrawley3478193758-2129
24Rochdale3667232953-2425

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