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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
34.58% ( 0.03) | 26.64% ( 0.01) | 38.79% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.99% ( -0.03) | 53.01% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.4% ( -0.02) | 74.6% ( 0.03) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% ( 0) | 29.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.9% ( 0) | 65.1% ( 0) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( -0.03) | 26.67% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% ( -0.04) | 61.92% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 92 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 91 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
4 | Barnsley | 43 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 85 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 59 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 52 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 50 |
17 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
18 | Burton Albion | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 49 |
19 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 41 |
21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 74 | -38 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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