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Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
2 - 5
Peterborough
Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Hughes (67')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wycombe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Peterborough United

Burton have the fourth-worst home record in League One this season, and it is difficult to back them at the moment due to their recent struggles. Peterborough have actually lost eight of their 13 away league games this term, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will be able to secure a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
30.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 25.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 44.14% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.1% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)50.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)72.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.09% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)22.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.72% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 30.05%
    Peterborough United 44.14%
    Draw 25.79%
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.05%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.14%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Peterborough

Burton Albion
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
Peterborough United
52.6%
38
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
3-3
Burton Albion
Peterborough win 5-4 on penalties
Clarke (3'), Reed (23'), Mason (68')
Reed (90'), Hamilton (90+6')
Lawless (44'), Powell (52', 55')
Wallace (77')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42278773452889
2Ipswich TownIpswich422513487335488
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds432512675363987
4Barnsley422571074383682
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough432341673512273
6Bolton WanderersBolton4220121056332372
7Derby CountyDerby4320121165442172
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe432081557441368
9Portsmouth4316171057471065
10Charlton AthleticCharlton431513156359458
11Lincoln CityLincoln421220104243-156
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury42168185055-556
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood431315155047354
14Exeter CityExeter431411186058253
15Bristol Rovers411410175564-952
16Burton Albion411310185577-2249
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham421211193754-1747
18Port Vale431210214365-2246
19MK Dons431110224061-2143
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd42914194152-1141
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge42117243663-2740
22Morecambe43814213971-3238
23Accrington StanleyAccrington42911223673-3738
RForest Green RoversForest Green4369283081-5127

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