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Accrington Stanley
Barnsley
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
Ipswich logo
Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at Wham Stadium
League One | Gameweek 21
Accrington
1 - 3
Portsmouth
Adedoyin (88')
Rodgers (49'), Fernandes (62'), Leigh (73')
Jensen (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pigott (13'), Hackett-Fairchild (57'), Bishop (81')
Mousinho (11'), Morrell (46'), Scarlett (90+5')
Pigott (66')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth boast more quality in their squad than the hosts, but Cowley's men are struggling for form in the third tier while Accrington are improving, and we only see the visitors leaving with another draw at the weekend amid their struggles. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
23.92% (0.553 0.55) 25.17% (0.297 0.3) 50.91% (-0.844 -0.84)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.67 -0.67)52.27% (0.675 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.579 -0.58)73.96% (0.584 0.58)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (0.135 0.13)36.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (0.135 0.13)73.57% (-0.131 -0.13)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.611 -0.61)20.53% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.979 -0.98)53.04% (0.985 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 23.92%
    Portsmouth 50.91%
    Draw 25.16%
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.78% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 23.92%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 11.95% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.91%

How you voted: Accrington vs Portsmouth

Accrington Stanley
40.7%
Draw
18.5%
Portsmouth
40.7%
27
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
4-0
Accrington
Hirst (16', 56'), Raggett (28'), Tunnicliffe (69')
Robertson (2'), Romeo (38')
Harness (21')

Pell (47'), Nottingham (86')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Portsmouth
Pell (50'), Butcher (77')
Sykes (45+2'), Hamilton (64')
Curtis (18'), Harness (86')
Raggett (28'), Curtis (64')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Accrington

Harness (18'), Downing (28'), Byers (64'), White (66')
Phillips (23')
Rodgers (62')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Accrington
3-3
Portsmouth
Bishop (15'), Burgess (43'), Marquis (90+5' og.)
Barclay (90+3'), Conneely (90+4')
Marquis (49', 90+1'), Williams (54')
Curtis (84'), Cannon (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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