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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
37.92% ( 6.93) | 26.57% ( 0.17) | 35.51% ( -7.1) |
Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.34% ( 0.26) | 52.66% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.7% ( 0.22) | 74.3% ( -0.22) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 4.5) | 27% ( -4.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( 5.54) | 62.35% ( -5.54) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% ( -3.81) | 28.42% ( 3.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.83% ( -5.06) | 64.17% ( 5.06) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 1.09) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1.02) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 1.41) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.82) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.88) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -1.21) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.85) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -1.55) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.78) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -1.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 41 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 86 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 41 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 85 | 32 | 53 | 85 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 84 |
4 | Barnsley | 41 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 81 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 71 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 42 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 70 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 69 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 65 |
9 | Portsmouth | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 41 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 56 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 62 | 59 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 41 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 55 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 59 | 56 | 3 | 53 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 76 | -22 | 48 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 41 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 41 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 42 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 26 |
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