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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
38.92% | 27.23% | 33.85% |
Both teams to score 49.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% | 55.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% | 76.65% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% | 27.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% | 63.32% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% | 30.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% | 67.13% |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.92% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 71 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 33 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 63 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 62 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Barnsley | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 59 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 53 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 51 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Portsmouth | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 48 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 42 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 41 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 32 | 8 | 17 | 7 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 41 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 41 |
16 | Port Vale | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 40 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 35 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 33 |
20 | Morecambe | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 31 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 31 |
22 | MK Dons | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 29 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 64 | -38 | 23 |
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