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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
29.87% | 27.27% | 42.86% |
Both teams to score 48.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% | 56.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% | 77.62% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.74% | 34.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.05% | 70.95% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% | 26.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.75% | 61.25% |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 12.01% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 92 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 91 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
4 | Barnsley | 43 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 85 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 59 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 52 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 50 |
17 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
18 | Burton Albion | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 49 |
19 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 41 |
21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 74 | -38 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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