Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and AFC Wimbledon.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Sutton United | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Carlisle United | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Walsall | 8 | 2 | 9 |
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Walsall | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Tranmere Rovers | 8 | -1 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
47.7% ( 0.07) | 26.83% ( 0.05) | 25.47% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
