Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.