MX23RW : Saturday, February 25 09:24:00| >> :600:350894:350894:
Dec 13, 2022 at 7pm UK at Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
2 - 4
Accrington
Oshilaja (7'), Tharme (23' og.)
Borthwick-Jackson (20'), Hughes (61')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rodgers (20', 68'), Pritchard (41'), Leigh (45+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Burton Albion and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Accrington Stanley

Fresh from a postponed fixture on home soil, Accrington should have the legs to compete with an increasingly resilient Burton side and edge through to the fourth round. Though defeat would end Albion's unbeaten run, they still have a winnable FA Cup tie with Grimsby to look forward to early next year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawAccrington Stanley
37.32% (0.0040000000000049 0) 24.36% (0.0010000000000012 0) 38.32% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 60.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (0.0040000000000049 0)42.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (0.0049999999999955 0)65.01% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (0.0039999999999907 0)22.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)56.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (0.0039999999999907 0)22.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)55.62%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.32%
    Accrington Stanley 38.32%
    Draw 24.35%
Burton AlbionDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.34%
1-0 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.32%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 38.32%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Accrington

Burton Albion
40.6%
Draw
37.5%
Accrington Stanley
21.9%
32
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Accrington
4-4
Burton Albion
Pritchard (52'), McConville (57'), Woods (90'), Longelo-Mbule (90+6')
Keillor-Dunn (10' pen., 17', 50'), Ahadme (81')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
4-0
Accrington
Jebbison (28', 50'), Smith (45+4', 49')

Coyle (66'), Mumbongo (82')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Accrington
Powell (72'), Brayford (87')
Quinn (56'), Garratt (90+4')
Pritchard (83')
Burgess (76'), Allan (85')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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