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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Burton Albion

Until Burton are mathematically safe from relegation, they will remain focused on getting the point that they require to secure their third-tier status for another 12 months. However, we feel that the extra freedom will benefit Accrington, who could add a 12th home win to their collection. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBurton Albion
49.28%23.93%26.79%
Both teams to score 56.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.24%44.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88%67.12%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74%18.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.69%49.3%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46%66.54%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 49.28%
    Burton Albion 26.79%
    Draw 23.93%
Accrington StanleyDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 49.28%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 5.7%
0-0 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-1 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.79%

How you voted: Accrington vs Burton Albion

Accrington Stanley
64.7%
Draw
23.5%
Burton Albion
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
4-0
Accrington
Jebbison (28', 50'), Smith (45+4', 49')

Coyle (66'), Mumbongo (82')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Accrington
Powell (72'), Brayford (87')
Quinn (56'), Garratt (90+4')
Pritchard (83')
Burgess (76'), Allan (85')
Sep 4, 2020 7.30pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Accrington
Burton Albion win 4-2 on penalties
Akins (32')
Eardley (81')
Burgess (82')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Accrington
Brayford (30')
O'Toole (36'), Edwards (45'), Quinn (59')
Charles (15')
Opoku (22'), Charles (45'), Hughes (45')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds31208358223668
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32208457322568
3Ipswich TownIpswich321612460312960
4Bolton WanderersBolton33178848242459
5Derby CountyDerby31169650252557
6Barnsley30175845271856
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe311651044291553
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury32146123934548
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough301521348381047
10Portsmouth30101283736142
11Charlton AthleticCharlton311010114543240
12Port Vale33117153347-1440
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood32912113534139
14Exeter CityExeter32109134243-139
15Lincoln CityLincoln3081572931-239
16Bristol Rovers32108144455-1138
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3399153641-536
18Burton Albion3197154058-1834
19Cheltenham TownCheltenham3196162540-1533
20Morecambe32710153352-1931
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079142647-2130
22MK Dons3285193051-2129
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3285192652-2629
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3357212563-3822

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