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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Reebok Stadium
Accrington Stanley
Bolton
3 - 1
Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Accrington Stanley

With just three games left to play, a place in the playoffs is now unattainable for Bolton and they will now look to close out the season on a high. They go up against an Accrington Stanley side who have struggled to get going on the road, picking up 16 points from a possible 63 so far. We predict the hosts will come out victorious on Monday, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
61.48%21.57%16.95%
Both teams to score 50.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.73%46.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.44%68.56%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47%14.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.44%42.56%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.33%40.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.74%77.26%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 61.47%
    Accrington Stanley 16.95%
    Draw 21.57%
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 6.36%
4-0 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-0 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 61.47%
1-1 @ 10.25%
0-0 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 5.32%
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 16.95%

How you voted: Bolton vs Accrington

Bolton Wanderers
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Accrington Stanley
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Accrington
2-0
Bolton
Zanzala (10'), Bishop (85')

Graham (36')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Accrington
7-1
Bolton
Bishop (15' pen., 27'), McConville (33', 53'), Charles (75'), Zanzala (80', 91')
Conneely (45')
Murphy (5')
O'Grady (29')
Earl (14')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth26158342222053
2Bolton WanderersBolton24163545242151
3Peterborough UnitedPeterborough25147450272349
4Derby CountyDerby25154647242349
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd25144742291346
6Barnsley24127546281843
7Stevenage25127637251243
8Blackpool26116942321039
9Northampton TownNorthampton25113113133-236
10Bristol Rovers249783433134
11Lincoln CityLincoln2688102929032
12Leyton Orient258892531-632
13Charlton AthleticCharlton257993937230
14Port Vale2586112838-1030
15Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2693141736-1930
16Wycombe WanderersWycombe2578102934-529
17Burton Albion2677122135-1428
18Wigan AthleticWigan25105103530527
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge2476112132-1127
20Exeter CityExeter2575131837-1926
21Reading2576123441-723
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2565141934-1523
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2648142138-1720
24Fleetwood TownFleetwood2546152245-2318

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