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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Sampdoria logo
Spezia
2 - 1
Sampdoria
Murillo (12' og.), N'Zola (72')
Bastoni (42'), Kovalenko (59'), Egill Ellertsson (89'), N'Zola (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sabiri (11')
Ferrari (23'), Villar (43'), Leris (69'), Duricic (78'), Murillo (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie A

Sampdoria

Last Six:
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Sampdoria

 With only one win between them, confidence is low in both camps. As Spezia (10) and Sampdoria (18) are also two of the three teams with the fewest shots on target this term, expect a low-scoring Ligurian derby in which the spoils are shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
45.6% (1.622 1.62) 28.61% (0.521 0.52) 25.79% (-2.138 -2.14)
Both teams to score 42.55% (-2.698 -2.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.96% (-2.701 -2.7)63.05% (2.706 2.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.5% (-2.001 -2)82.5% (2.005 2.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.431 -0.43)27.73% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-0.559 -0.56)63.29% (0.563 0.56)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87% (-3.359 -3.36)41.13% (3.364 3.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (-3.126 -3.13)77.67% (3.131 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 45.6%
    Sampdoria 25.79%
    Draw 28.6%
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 14.62% (1.24 1.24)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.692 0.69)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.25 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.4% (1.1 1.1)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.417 -0.42)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.6%
0-1 @ 10.13% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.572 -0.57)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.386 -0.39)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 25.79%

How you voted: Spezia vs Sampdoria

Spezia
45.8%
Draw
37.3%
Sampdoria
16.9%
83
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Sampdoria
Verde (69')
Erlic (30'), Verde (71')

Thorsby (37'), Ekdal (47'), Rincon (52')
Ekdal (73')
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Spezia
Gyasi (15' og.), Candreva (36')
Bereszynski (44'), Colley (45+2'), Candreva (57')
Verde (90+5')
Hristov (14')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Sampdoria
2-2
Spezia
Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')
Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')
Jan 11, 2021 7.45pm
Spezia
2-1
Sampdoria
Terzi (20'), N'Zola (60' pen.)
Farias (37'), Gyasi (90+2'), Marchizza (90+4'), Agudelo (90+5')
Candreva (24')
Yoshida (34'), Bereszynski (56'), Jankto (71')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519
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