Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
49.27% | 24.69% | 26.03% |
Both teams to score 53.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.37% | 48.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.26% | 70.74% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% | 19.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% | 51.81% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.01% | 32.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.42% | 69.57% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.23% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 75 |
2 | Lazio | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 61 |
3 | Juventus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 59 |
4 | Roma | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 56 |
5 | AC Milan | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 |
6 | Inter Milan | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 51 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 49 |
8 | Bologna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 44 |
9 | Fiorentina | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Torino | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 |
12 | Udinese | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
13 | Monza | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 38 |
14 | Salernitana | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
15 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 |
16 | Lecce | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
18 | SpeziaSpezia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 |
20 | Sampdoria | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 51 | -32 | 16 |
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