Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
