Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
17.12% | 21.04% | 61.84% |
Both teams to score 52.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.37% | 43.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.98% | 66.02% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.12% | 38.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.39% | 75.61% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% | 13.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.33% | 40.67% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 4.98% 2-1 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.12% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 5.27% 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 0-2 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 3.13% 2-4 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.32% Other @ 3% Total : 61.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 62 |
2 | Inter Milan | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 47 |
3 | AC Milan | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 44 |
4 | Lazio | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 41 |
6 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Juventus | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 32 |
8 | Bologna | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 32 |
9 | Udinese | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
11 | Monza | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
12 | Empoli | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 28 |
13 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
14 | Fiorentina | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 24 |
16 | Salernitana | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 |
19 | Sampdoria | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 38 | -27 | 11 |
20 | Cremonese | 22 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 8 |
> Full Version |