Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
32.64% | 26.79% | 40.57% |
Both teams to score 51.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.02% | 53.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.57% | 75.42% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% | 30.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% | 67.19% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% | 61.22% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.64% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 71 |
2 | Lazio | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 52 |
3 | Inter Milan | 28 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 48 |
5 | AC Milan | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 |
6 | Roma | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 47 |
7 | Juventus | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 44 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 40 |
9 | Bologna | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Torino | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 37 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 36 |
13 | Monza | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 34 |
14 | Empoli | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
16 | Salernitana | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 27 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 24 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 19 |
19 | Sampdoria | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 44 | -28 | 15 |
20 | Cremonese | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 13 |
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