Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Roma |
36.56% | 25.37% | 38.07% |
Both teams to score 56.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% | 47.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% | 69.6% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% | 25.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% | 60.07% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% | 24.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.07% | 58.92% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 0.92% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
2 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
3 | Inter Milan | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 66 |
4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
8 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Fiorentina | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
10 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
11 | Torino | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 44 |
14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Salernitana | 36 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 39 |
16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 36 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 67 | -45 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |