Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
66.68% | 19.25% | 14.07% |
Both teams to score 51.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.36% | 41.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.96% | 64.04% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.41% | 11.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.43% | 36.57% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.34% | 41.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.86% | 78.14% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-0 @ 11.21% 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 4.34% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.09% 5-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.73% Total : 66.67% | 1-1 @ 9.11% 0-0 @ 4.83% 2-2 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 19.25% | 0-1 @ 4.23% 1-2 @ 3.99% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.58% Total : 14.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
3 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
> Serie A Full Table |