Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
30.15% | 24.59% | 45.26% |
Both teams to score 57.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% | 45.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% | 67.89% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.64% | 28.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.91% | 64.09% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% | 20.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.44% | 52.56% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.28% 1-0 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.15% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-1 @ 9.17% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 4.92% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
3 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
> Serie A Full Table |