Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
49.88% | 27.09% | 23.04% |
Both teams to score 44.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.1% | 59.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.84% | 80.16% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.81% | 24.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.48% | 58.52% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.09% | 41.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.65% | 78.36% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 14.38% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.87% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
3 | Braga | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 46 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
8 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 26 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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