Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Maritimo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.