Portimonense should enter this match in good confidence due to their recent form, but it is very difficult to back against Porto considering their league results of late. Conceicao's team have so much quality in the final third, and we are expecting them to pick up another three points in this clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
