Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
