Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
