Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.35%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.27%) and 3-0 (11.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Boavista |
77.35% | 15.59% | 7.06% |
Both teams to score 37.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% | 45.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% | 67.89% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.11% | 9.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.23% | 32.77% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42% | 58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.4% | 89.59% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Boavista |
2-0 @ 15.35% 1-0 @ 13.27% 3-0 @ 11.84% 2-1 @ 8.36% 4-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-1 @ 3.73% 5-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.73% 6-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 77.34% | 1-1 @ 7.23% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 2.28% Other @ 0.35% Total : 15.59% | 0-1 @ 3.12% 1-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 1.97% Total : 7.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 16 |
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