Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 9.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Boavista |
73.68% | 17.16% | 9.16% |
Both teams to score 42.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.69% | 45.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.35% | 67.65% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.24% | 10.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.24% | 34.75% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.28% | 52.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.53% | 86.47% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Boavista |
2-0 @ 14.09% 1-0 @ 12.64% 3-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 6.71% 4-0 @ 5.84% 4-1 @ 3.74% 5-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.2% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 73.66% | 1-1 @ 8.1% 0-0 @ 5.67% 2-2 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.16% | 0-1 @ 3.63% 1-2 @ 2.59% 0-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.77% Total : 9.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 16 |
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