Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.