Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.98%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
16.07% | 22.36% | 61.57% |
Both teams to score 46.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.03% | 50.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.16% | 72.84% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.39% | 44.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.38% | 80.62% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% | 16.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.54% | 45.46% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.79% 2-1 @ 4.27% 2-0 @ 2.34% 3-1 @ 1.15% 3-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.47% Total : 16.07% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 13.1% 0-2 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 5.89% 0-4 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-5 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.09% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 61.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 59 |
2 | Porto | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 14 | 35 | 51 |
3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 33 |
7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 29 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 27 |
11 | Vizela | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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