Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.